| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 62.39% ( | 21.26% ( | 16.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( | 45.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( | 68.26% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( | 14.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.19% ( | 41.81% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( | 41.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( | 77.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.35% |