Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.