| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 55.32% ( | 24.06% ( | 20.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( | 51.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( | 73.1% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( | 18.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( | 49.56% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( | 39.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( | 76.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.61% |