| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 58.88% ( | 21.8% ( | 19.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( | 43.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( | 65.87% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( | 14.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( | 36.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( | 73.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-1 @ 3.11% ( 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.32% |