| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 4 | Austin FC | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
| 51.24% ( | 23.35% ( | 25.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( | 43.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( | 65.65% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( | 16.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( | 30.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.24% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.41% |