Major League Soccer

May 15, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 0
Nashville

Carrasquilla (16'), Quintero (53' pen.)
Hadebe (42'), Clark (42'), Quintero (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Miller (45+1'), Maher (46'), Zubak (86'), Zimmerman (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Nashville SC
45.03%	26.95%	28.02%

Both teams to score 48.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.7%

56.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67%

77.33%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09%

24.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47%

59.53%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51%

35.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74%

72.26%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 45.02%

Nashville SC 28.02%

Draw 26.95%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.02%