| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 45.28% | 25.52% | 29.2% |
| Both teams to score 53.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% | 50.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% | 72.05% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% | 22.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% | 55.45% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% | 31.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% | 67.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.2% |