Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.