| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 4 | Austin FC | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Austin FC |
| 56.92% ( | 21.56% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( | 39.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% ( | 61.65% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% | 13.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.13% ( | 40.86% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( | 31.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( | 68.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 3.26% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 21.52% |