| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 48.97% ( | 25.34% ( | 25.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( | 51.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( | 73.35% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( | 21.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( | 53.88% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( | 71.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.69% |