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May 28, 2022 at 11pm UK at Banc of California Stadium
Los Angeles
3 - 2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Seattle vs. Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

A recent blip in form will worry Los Angeles, and yet another derby defeat will certainly sting, but the benefit of home advantage and their opponents' leaky defence should help them secure maximum points on Saturday. Able to produce goals from a variety of sources, the hosts should score more than once and reaffirm their grip on first place in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
66.33% (-0.631 -0.63) 18.88% (0.411 0.41) 14.79% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.943 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (-1.493 -1.49)38.25% (1.494 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-1.605 -1.61)60.53% (1.606 1.61)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.575 -0.58)10.72% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.35% (-1.298 -1.3)34.65% (1.299 1.3)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.654 -0.65)38.51% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.63 -0.63)75.26% (0.63199999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.32%
    San Jose Earthquakes 14.79%
    Draw 18.88%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.431 0.43)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 66.32%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.288 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.94% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.79%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
Aug 9, 2021 12am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cardoso (11'), Lopez (28')
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Yueill (39' og.)
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
Nov 5, 2020 4am
Earthquakes
3-2
Los Angeles
Atuesta (28' og.), Wondolowski (37'), Espinoza (72')
Rios (21'), Yueill (52')
Yueill (61')
Blessing (23'), Rossi (90+3')
Ginella (33'), Murillo (66')
Sep 28, 2020 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Earthquakes
Kaye (45')
Ginella (90+3')
Salinas (80'), Yueill (90+4')
Rios (34'), Salinas (75'), Espinoza (83')

Did you know...?
rhs 2.0
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1678122121029
2New York City FCNY City1583427131427
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls177552619726
4CF MontrealMontreal168263028226
5Orlando City177462023-325
6New England RevolutionNew England176652726124
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati167272326-323
8Inter MiamiInter Miami166371725-821
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC176291721-420
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta155462322119
11Columbus Crew154651817118
12Toronto165382330-718
13Chicago Fire163581422-814
14DC United154291827-914

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1678122121029
2New York City FCNY City1583427131427
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls177552619726
4CF MontrealMontreal168263028226
5Orlando City177462023-325
6New England RevolutionNew England176652726124
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati167272326-323
8Inter MiamiInter Miami166371725-821
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC176291721-420
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta155462322119
11Columbus Crew154651817118
12Toronto165382330-718
13Chicago Fire163581422-814
14DC United154291827-914

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