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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2022 at 11pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
3 - 2
Earthquakes

Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Seattle vs. Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
66.33% (-0.631 -0.63)18.88% (0.411 0.41)14.79% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.943 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (-1.493 -1.49)38.25% (1.494 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-1.605 -1.61)60.53% (1.606 1.61)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.575 -0.58)10.72% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.35% (-1.298 -1.3)34.65% (1.299 1.3)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.654 -0.65)38.51% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.63 -0.63)75.26% (0.63199999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.32%
    San Jose Earthquakes 14.79%
    Draw 18.88%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.431 0.43)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 66.32%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.288 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.94% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.79%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
Aug 9, 2021 12am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cardoso (11'), Lopez (28')
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Yueill (39' og.)
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
Nov 5, 2020 4am
Earthquakes
3-2
Los Angeles
Atuesta (28' og.), Wondolowski (37'), Espinoza (72')
Rios (21'), Yueill (52')
Yueill (61')
Blessing (23'), Rossi (90+3')
Ginella (33'), Murillo (66')
Sep 28, 2020 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Earthquakes
Kaye (45')
Ginella (90+3')
Salinas (80'), Yueill (90+4')
Rios (34'), Salinas (75'), Espinoza (83')
rhs 2.0


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