| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | CF Montreal | 15 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
| 38.91% ( | 26.66% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( | 53.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( | 74.69% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( | 26.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( | 61.89% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( | 65.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.43% |