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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Orlando City

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Orlando City

Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City

 There is no doubt that Cincinnati are vastly improved, although they continue to struggle at home, winning only twice at TQL Stadium in 2022. Orlando have shown that they can be potent in the attacking third once in a while, but we have not seen enough consistency in that department to believe they will manage to shut down a dynamic attacking team in Cincy for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
38.91% (1.808 1.81) 26.66% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.43% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 51.85% (1.024 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (1.362 1.36)53.11% (-1.357 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (1.145 1.15)74.69% (-1.142 -1.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (1.683 1.68)26.65% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (2.171 2.17)61.89% (-2.169 -2.17)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.229 -0.23)29.3% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.28 -0.28)65.27% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38.9%
    Orlando City 34.43%
    Draw 26.65%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.583 -0.58)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Orlando City

FC Cincinnati
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Orlando City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Cincinnati
Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Bailey (80'), Cameron (86')
Urso (13')
Carlos (66'), Perea (74')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
Orlando City
Brenner (42')
Matarrita (53')
Nani (56')
Schlegel (68'), Mueller (77'), Dezart (84')
May 2, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Cincinnati
Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

Stanko (78')
Aug 2, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
Orlando City
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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