Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.