| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 15 | -8 | 15 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 15 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 | DC United | 14 | -8 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 41.32% ( | 27.33% ( | 31.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( | 77.42% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( | 62.18% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( | 33.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.35% |