| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 15 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | DC United | 14 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | -10 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 58.04% ( | 23.18% ( | 18.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( | 50.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( | 72.05% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% ( | 47.09% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.25% ( | 40.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.66% ( | 77.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.78% |