Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2022 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
7 - 0
DC United

Bedoya (9', 37'), Carranza (22', 25', 25', 72'), Uhre (45+2', 59')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Birnbaum (36'), Odoi-Atsem (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Philadelphia
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	New York Red Bulls	19	7	32
2	Philadelphia Union	18	9	30
3	CF Montreal	18	1	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
60.75% ( 3.08)	22.62% ( -1.3)	16.62% ( -1.78)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.91% (

2.39)

51.08% (

-2.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06% (

2.06)

72.94% (

-2.06)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

1.95)

16.39% (

-1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.95% (

3.42)

46.04% (

-3.42)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.05% (

-0.78)

43.95% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.92% (

-0.65)

80.08% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 60.73%

DC United 16.62%

Draw 22.62%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.73%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.62%