Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Columbus Crew Stadium

Columbus Crew
0 - 0
Philadelphia

Mensah (1'), Zelarayan (36'), Hurtado (39'), Santos (43'), Moreira (59')

Elliott (39'), Bedoya (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	17	9	29
2	New York Red Bulls	18	6	29
3	CF Montreal	17	5	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Philadelphia Union
52.57% ( 0.04)	24.45% ( 0.04)	22.98% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

-0.24)

50.3% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-0.22)

72.25% (

0.22)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-0.07)

19.09% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

-0.13)

50.71% (

0.13)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44% (

-0.21)

36.56% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65% (

-0.21)

73.35% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 52.56%

Philadelphia Union 22.98%

Draw 24.45%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.98%