Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Sporting Kansas City	18	-12	16
9	Chicago Fire	16	-8	14
10	DC United	15	-10	14

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	16	10	29
2	New York Red Bulls	17	5	26
3	CF Montreal	16	4	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Philadelphia Union
48.28% ( -0.17)	26.47% ( 0.08)	25.24% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82% (

-0.24)

56.18% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.76% (

-0.2)

77.24% (

0.2)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-0.18)

23.31% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

-0.27)

57.25% (

0.27)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.24% (

-0.06)

37.76% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.46% (

-0.06)

74.54% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 48.28%

Philadelphia Union 25.24%

Draw 26.47%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.28%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.24%