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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK
Robertson Stadium
Chicago Fire

Houston
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Ulfarsson (23'), Quintero (45+2')
Rodriguez (41'), Steres (64'), Ceren (79'), Parker (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Navarro (38'), Espinoza (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawChicago Fire
42.94% (0.28 0.28)25.8% (-0.125 -0.13)31.26% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.68% (0.334 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (0.466 0.47)50.35% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (0.412 0.41)72.29% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.33800000000001 0.34)23.31% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (0.492 0.49)57.26% (-0.492 -0.49)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (0.129 0.13)30.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (0.15499999999999 0.15)66.13% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.93%
    Chicago Fire 31.26%
    Draw 25.8%
Houston DynamoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Houston vs Chicago Fire

Houston Dynamo
31.6%
Draw
26.3%
Chicago Fire
42.1%
19
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Chicago Fire
4-0
Houston
Beric (15'), Herbers (23'), Medran (40'), Sapong (87' pen.)
Pineda (63'), Shuttleworth (70')

Lassiter (83'), Struna (87'), Maric (89')
Aug 4, 2019 2am
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
Oct 22, 2017 9pm
Houston
3-0
Chicago Fire
Leonardo (2'), Quioto (68'), Manotas (75')
May 21, 2016 10pm
Chicago Fire
1-0
Houston
Alvarez (3')