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Jun 26, 2022 at 11pm UK at PPL Park
Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 New York City FC

Battling their bitter rivals always seems to take a toll on NYCFC, and we could see a battered and bruised side, who only have a few days to recover from that physically demanding game against the Red Bulls. Philly should benefit from The Pigeons' fatigue and continue their unbeaten run at home, where they have managed to shut down the most potent MLS sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 39%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
39% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 27.27% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 33.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.83% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.119 0.12)55.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.097000000000001 0.1)76.78% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.104 0.1)27.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.133 0.13)63.37% (-0.133 -0.13)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.028999999999996 0.03)67.31% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 39%
    New York City FC 33.73%
    Draw 27.26%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.73%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union
60.5%
Draw
26.3%
New York City FC
13.2%
38
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
May 2, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia25139345192648
2CF MontrealMontreal2513484341243
3New York City FCNY City24126645271842
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2510783831737
5Columbus Crew2481063227534
6New England RevolutionNew England248973634233
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati258984245-333
8Orlando City2596102836-833
9Inter MiamiInter Miami2596103241-933
10Chicago Fire2586112834-630
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta247893336-329
12Toronto2585123743-629
13Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2592143039-929
14DC United2464142848-2022

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia25139345192648
2CF MontrealMontreal2513484341243
3New York City FCNY City24126645271842
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2510783831737
5Columbus Crew2481063227534
6New England RevolutionNew England248973634233
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati258984245-333
8Orlando City2596102836-833
9Inter MiamiInter Miami2596103241-933
10Chicago Fire2586112834-630
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta247893336-329
12Toronto2585123743-629
13Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2592143039-929
14DC United2464142848-2022

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