Major League Soccer

Jun 26, 2022 at 11pm UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City

Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	15	9	26
2	New York Red Bulls	16	7	26
3	CF Montreal	16	4	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 39%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
39% ( 0.08)	27.27% ( -0.03)	33.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

0.12)

55.62% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

0.1)

76.78% (

-0.1)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

0.1)

27.79% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63% (

0.13)

63.37% (

-0.13)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

0.03)

31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

0.03)

67.31% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 39%

New York City FC 33.73%

Draw 27.26%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.73%