Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.