Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 2
Columbus Crew

Jimenez (54')
Thompson (37'), Osorio (66')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zawadzki (18'), Nagbe (30')
Russell-Rowe (66'), Igbekeme (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
37.02% ( 0.01)	25.47% ( -0.18)	37.5% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.19% (

0.82)

47.81% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01% (

0.75)

69.99% (

-0.75)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.38)

25.24% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

0.53)

59.99% (

-0.53)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

0.47)

24.98% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

0.65)

59.62% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Toronto 37.02%

Columbus Crew 37.5%

Draw 25.47%

Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.02%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.5%