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Toronto FC
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Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK at BMO Field
Toronto
2 - 1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta United

Atlanta have developed a habit of tallying early, though they have struggled to maintain that intensity away from home for 90 minutes. For Toronto, they tend to react well and have shown more potency in the final third, so we expect if they suffer a setback, they will be able to recover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
30% (-0.903 -0.9) 23.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 46.57% (0.94900000000001 0.95)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.269 -0.27)40.29% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.278 -0.28)62.67% (0.279 0.28)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.699 -0.7)25.82% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.959 -0.96)60.79% (0.961 0.96)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.267 0.27)17.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.466 0.47)48.16% (-0.465 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 30%
    Atlanta United 46.57%
    Draw 23.42%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
35.1%
Draw
35.1%
Atlanta United
29.7%
37
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Sep 13, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia25139345192648
2CF MontrealMontreal2513484341243
3New York City FCNY City24126645271842
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2510783831737
5Columbus Crew2481063227534
6New England RevolutionNew England248973634233
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati258984245-333
8Orlando City2596102836-833
9Inter MiamiInter Miami2596103241-933
10Chicago Fire2586112834-630
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta247893336-329
12Toronto2585123743-629
13Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2592143039-929
14DC United2464142848-2022

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia25139345192648
2CF MontrealMontreal2513484341243
3New York City FCNY City24126645271842
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2510783831737
5Columbus Crew2481063227534
6New England RevolutionNew England248973634233
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati258984245-333
8Orlando City2596102836-833
9Inter MiamiInter Miami2596103241-933
10Chicago Fire2586112834-630
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta247893336-329
12Toronto2585123743-629
13Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2592143039-929
14DC United2464142848-2022

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