Major League Soccer

Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 1
Atlanta

Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
30% ( -0.9)	23.43% ( -0.04)	46.57% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 61.13% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.7% (

-0.27)

40.29% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.33% (

-0.28)

62.67% (

0.28)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18% (

-0.7)

25.82% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.96)

60.79% (

0.96)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41% (

0.27)

17.59% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.84% (

0.47)

48.16% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Toronto 30%

Atlanta United 46.57%

Draw 23.42%

Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 30%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 46.57%