| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 20 | -12 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 19 | -9 | 17 |
| 10 | DC United | 17 | -15 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 19 | 0 | 29 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 19 | -1 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 39.42% ( | 26.37% ( | 34.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( | 51.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( | 73.7% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( | 25.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( | 60.8% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( | 28.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( | 64.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.21% |