Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.