Major League Soccer

Jul 10, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Columbus Crew

Czichos (29'), Mueller (41')
Gimenez (14'), Czichos (43'), Navarro (50'), Gutierrez (54'), Duran (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Etienne (63', 75'), Camilo Hernandez (83')
Moreira (8'), Mensah (71'), Camilo Hernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Toronto	18	-10	18
8	Chicago Fire	18	-8	17
9	DC United	17	-15	17

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Columbus Crew
47.45% ( -0.38)	27.32% ( 0.04)	25.23% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 45.42% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.83% (

0.09)

59.16% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

0.07)

79.59% (

-0.07)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

-0.14)

25.01% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.33% (

-0.2)

59.66% (

0.2)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.57% (

0.36)

39.43% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.87% (

0.33)

76.12% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 47.44%

Columbus Crew 25.23%

Draw 27.31%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.44%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.23%