Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2022 at 2am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Kikanovic (47', 87')
Marie (63'), Kikanovic (73'), Lopez (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gutierrez (90+5')
Mueller (27'), Gimenez (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Toronto	18	-10	18
8	Chicago Fire	17	-7	17
9	Sporting Kansas City	18	-12	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Chicago Fire
59.94% ( -0.3)	21.79% ( 0.18)	18.27% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0.63)

45.03% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0.6)

67.38% (

0.6)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

-0.3)

14.61% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28% (

-0.58)

42.72% (

0.58)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.63% (

-0.24)

38.37% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.87% (

-0.23)

75.13% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 59.93%

Chicago Fire 18.27%

Draw 21.79%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.93%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.27%