Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Club America had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Club America win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.