Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club America in this match.