Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 12.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club America in this match.

Result
Club America	Draw	Toluca
67.67% ( 0.07)	20.28% ( -0.04)	12.05% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

0.09)

50.57% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.08)

72.49% (

-0.07)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86% (

0.05)

13.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.48% (

0.09)

41.51% (

-0.09)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.56% (

50.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.04% (

84.96%

Score Analysis

Club America 67.67%

Toluca 12.05%

Draw 20.28%

Club America	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.64% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 67.67%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.28%	0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 12.05%