Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Club America had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.