Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 24, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 4
Atlas

Huerta (4'), Violante (89')
Vanegas (45'), Gonzalez (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rocha (8'), Quinones (45+1', 90+7'), Furch (58' pen.)
Quinones (45+2'), Reyes (60'), Santamaria (72'), Zaldivar (82'), Marquez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

Last Six:
    Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
    Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
    Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
    Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX

    Atlas

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atlas
      Monday, May 30 at 2.10am in Liga MX
      Next Game: America vs. Atlas
      Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

      The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

      Result
      TolucaDrawAtlas
      30%26.77%43.23%
      Both teams to score 50.08%
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      45.29%54.71%
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      23.97%76.03%
      Toluca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      66.87%33.14%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      30.27%69.74%
      Atlas Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.91%25.1%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      40.21%59.79%
      Score Analysis
          Toluca 30%
          Atlas 43.23%
          Draw 26.76%
      TolucaDrawAtlas
      1-0 @ 9.19%
      2-1 @ 7.01%
      2-0 @ 5.07%
      3-1 @ 2.58%
      3-0 @ 1.87%
      3-2 @ 1.79%
      Other @ 2.49%
      Total : 30%
      		1-1 @ 12.69%
      0-0 @ 8.32%
      2-2 @ 4.85%
      Other @ 0.91%
      Total : 26.76%
      		0-1 @ 11.49%
      1-2 @ 8.78%
      0-2 @ 7.95%
      1-3 @ 4.05%
      0-3 @ 3.66%
      2-3 @ 2.23%
      1-4 @ 1.4%
      0-4 @ 1.27%
      Other @ 2.41%
      Total : 43.23%

      Head to Head
      Aug 21, 2021 11pm
      Atlas
      0-0
      Toluca

      Marquez (36')

      Baeza (59')
      Feb 27, 2021 11pm
      Toluca
      0-0
      Atlas

      Triverio (66'), Juan Vazquez (90+4')

      Acosta (35')
      Aug 14, 2020 1am
      Atlas
      1-2
      Toluca
      Malcorra (28' pen.)
      Zaldivar (12'), Acosta (86')
      Canelo (22' pen.), Sambueza (55' pen.)
      Garcia (27'), Canelo (37'), Medina (68'), Guemez (89')
      Mar 15, 2020 6pm
      Toluca
      2-3
      Atlas
      Fernandez (21', 74' pen.)
      Castaneda (23'), Hernandez (43'), Guemez (58')
      Barbosa (4'), Abella (63'), Cuero (86')
      Marquez (71'), Cuero (87')
      Sep 21, 2019 3am
      Atlas
      0-1
      Toluca

      Torres (37'), Angulo (50'), Santamaria (59')
      Da Silva (41')
      Rodrigues (28'), Pardo (65'), Talavera (84')