Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
