Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
| 49.51% | 27.58% | 22.91% |
| Both teams to score 42.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.41% | 61.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% | 81.43% |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% | 25.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% | 59.81% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.98% | 43.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% | 79.31% |
| Score Analysis |
Atlas 49.5%
Toluca 22.91%
Draw 27.57%
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.1% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.91% |


