Liga MX
May 16, 2021 2.05am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brayan Angulo 12' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 90'+3' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Canelo 14'
  • yellowcard Jose Juan Vazquez 34'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 39'

Cruz Azul vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2021 1.00am
Toluca 2 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Jonathan Rodriguez

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2021 1.00am
Toluca 2 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Alexis Canelo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result

Cruz Azul 60.62%
Draw 21.88%
Toluca 17.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.85%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.35%
Under 2.5 46.65%
Over 3.5 31.08%
Under 3.5 68.92%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5 85.07%
Under 0.5 14.93%
Over 1.5 56.67%
Under 1.5 43.33%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 59.77%
Under 0.5 40.23%
Over 1.5 23.14%
Under 1.5 76.86%

Score analysis

Cruz Azul 60.62%
Draw 21.88%
Toluca 17.5%
Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.25%
5-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 60.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.88%
Toluca
0-1 @ 5.47%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.5%

Head to Head

Liga MX
May 13, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Alexis Canelo 26' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 27' goal
  • Miguel Barbieri 40' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 50' goal
  • Michael Estrada 52' goal
  • Rubens Sambueza 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 12'
  • goal Guillermo Fernandez 34'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 21, 2021 1.00am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 7' goal
  • Roberto Alvarado 27' goal
  • Adrian Aldrete 32' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Juan Vazquez 16'
  • goal Miguel Barbieri 44'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Michael Estrada 55'
  • yellowcard Rubens Sambueza 76'
  • yellowcard Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 90'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2020 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Haret Ortega 24' goal
  • Gaston Sauro 50' goal
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Feb 2, 2020 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Alexis Canelo 16' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 19' goal
  • Javier Guemez 35' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Gigliotti 64' yellowcard
  • Adrian Mora 74' yellowcard
  • Kevin Escamilla 84' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 95' goal
  • goal Santiago Gimenez 2'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 37'
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 45'
  • goal Elias Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Jose de Jesus Corona 64'
  • yellowcard Pablo Aguilar 86'
  • yellowcard Rafael Baca 92'
Liga MX
Jul 28, 2019 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 48' goal
  • Igor Lichnovsky 58' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anibal Chala 28'
  • goal Alan Medina 92'
Liga MX
Feb 10, 2019 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • William da Silva 23' yellowcard
  • Adrian Mora 66' goal
  • Jonatan Maidana 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Baca 24'
  • goal Orbelin Pineda 26'
  • yellowcard Adrian Aldrete 54'