Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Apr 3, 2021 at 4.30am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
0 - 1
Cruz Azul


Esquivel (75'), Lopez (86'), Velazquez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (89')
Baca (14'), Gimenez (73'), Aguilar (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
JuarezDrawCruz Azul
26.33%28.82%44.85%
Both teams to score 42.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.57%63.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.22%82.78%
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57%77.43%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Score Analysis
    Juarez 26.33%
    Cruz Azul 44.84%
    Draw 28.81%
JuarezDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 26.33%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.81%
0-1 @ 14.59%
0-2 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-3 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.22%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 44.84%