Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 25, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 1America
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
| 26.67% | 23.93% | 49.4% |
| Both teams to score 56.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
