Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
| 25.01% | 26.21% | 48.79% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% | 55.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% | 76.58% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% | 37.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.7% | 74.31% |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% | 22.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% | 56.41% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 25.01%
Tigres 48.78%
Draw 26.2%
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.68% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 12.63% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-3 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.78% |


