Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Toluca |
| 45.21% | 27.34% | 27.45% |
| Both teams to score 46.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% | 78.68% |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% | 25.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% | 60.45% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Score Analysis |
Club Tijuana 45.2%
Toluca 27.45%
Draw 27.33%
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.45% |


