Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 0
Toluca

Martinez (7'), Valdes (15'), Zendejas (18')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Huerta (12'), Baeza (14'), Fernandez (67')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

Last Six:
    Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 America
    Monday, May 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
    Next Game: America vs. Atlas
    Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX

    Toluca

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
      Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
      Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
      Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.8%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

      Result
      Club AmericaDrawToluca
      55.24%24.96%19.8%
      Both teams to score 45.69%
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      44.4%55.6%
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      23.24%76.77%
      Club America Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      79.9%20.1%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      47.65%52.35%
      Toluca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      57.19%42.81%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      20.87%79.13%
      Score Analysis
          Club America 55.22%
          Toluca 19.8%
          Draw 24.96%
      Club AmericaDrawToluca
      1-0 @ 13.8%
      2-0 @ 11.07%
      2-1 @ 9.4%
      3-0 @ 5.92%
      3-1 @ 5.03%
      4-0 @ 2.38%
      3-2 @ 2.13%
      4-1 @ 2.02%
      Other @ 3.49%
      Total : 55.22%
      		1-1 @ 11.71%
      0-0 @ 8.61%
      2-2 @ 3.99%
      Other @ 0.66%
      Total : 24.96%
      		0-1 @ 7.3%
      1-2 @ 4.97%
      0-2 @ 3.1%
      1-3 @ 1.41%
      2-3 @ 1.13%
      Other @ 1.91%
      Total : 19.8%

      Head to Head
      Sep 19, 2021 1am
      Toluca
      3-1
      America
      Ortega (2', 61'), Samudio (39')
      Baeza (22'), Rigonato Rodrigues (49'), Gonzalez (81'), Sambueza (90')
      Baeza (56')
      Martin (6')
      Vinas (11'), Valdez (45+2'), Layun (65'), Caceres (80'), Madrigal (83'), Ochoa (84')
      Caceres (84')
      Apr 25, 2021 11.30pm
      Toluca
      3-1
      America
      Estrada (8'), Lopez (11'), Canelo (73')
      Lopez (18'), Torres (45+2')
      Aguilera (49' pen.)
      Valdez (34'), Sanchez (86')
      Sep 13, 2020 3am
      America
      1-1
      Toluca
      Vinas (20')
      Caceres (56'), Sanchez (61')
      Sartiaguin (29')
      Sartiaguin (37'), Abella (63')
      Apr 11, 2020 11pm
      America
      P-P
      Toluca
      Aug 11, 2019 6pm
      Toluca
      0-1
      America

      Mora (4'), Pardo (32')
      Ibarra (63')
      Martinez (20'), Sanchez (31'), Valdez (40'), Vargas (48'), Ibarra (52')