Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 42.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
| 42.57% | 28.94% | 28.49% |
| Both teams to score 43.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.11% | 62.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.61% | 82.39% |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% | 29.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% | 65.24% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% | 38.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.54% | 75.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Queretaro 42.57%
Toluca 28.48%
Draw 28.93%
| Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 8.11% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.55% Total : 28.48% |


