Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
