Necaxa
0 - 1
Toluca

Madrigal (31'), Aguirre (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sanvezzo (2')
Canelo (51'), Rodriguez (74')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
43.21%	28.13%	28.66%

Both teams to score 45.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.8%

60.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.61%

80.38%

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36%

27.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82%

63.17%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9%

37.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12%

73.88%

Score Analysis

Necaxa 43.2%

Toluca 28.65%

Draw 28.13%

Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 8.41% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.65%