Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 2, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 3
Toluca

Formiliano (39')
Araos (54'), Mendez (68'), Villalpando (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fernandez (3'), Huerta (24'), Sanvezzo (69' pen.)
Fernandez (25'), Volpi (32'), Baeza (49')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa (3-1 pen.)
    Saturday, May 7 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
    Next Game: Queretaro vs. Necaxa
    Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Liga MX

    Toluca

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
      Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
      Next Game: Toluca vs. Atlas
      Sunday, July 10 at 6pm in Liga MX

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.49%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

      Result
      NecaxaDrawToluca
      51.49% (-1.48 -1.48)25.02% (0.548 0.55)23.49% (0.931 0.93)
      Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.569 -0.57)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      47.92% (-1.293 -1.29)52.07% (1.29 1.29)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      26.2% (-1.128 -1.13)73.8% (1.125 1.13)
      Necaxa Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      79.77% (-1.099 -1.1)20.22% (1.096 1.1)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      47.45% (-1.784 -1.78)52.54% (1.781 1.78)
      Toluca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      62.93% (0.15 0.15)37.07% (-0.153 -0.15)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      26.14% (0.151 0.15)73.85% (-0.155 -0.16)
      Score Analysis
          Necaxa 51.49%
          Toluca 23.49%
          Draw 25.02%
      NecaxaDrawToluca
      1-0 @ 11.98% (0.21 0.21)
      2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.163 -0.16)
      2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
      3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.268 -0.27)
      3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
      3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
      4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.182 -0.18)
      4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
      4-2 @ 1% (-0.08 -0.08)
      Other @ 2.68%
      Total : 51.49%
      		1-1 @ 11.89% (0.26 0.26)
      0-0 @ 7.5% (0.377 0.38)
      2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
      Other @ 0.92%
      Total : 25.02%
      		0-1 @ 7.44% (0.403 0.4)
      1-2 @ 5.9% (0.149 0.15)
      0-2 @ 3.69% (0.215 0.22)
      1-3 @ 1.95% (0.058 0.06)
      2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
      0-3 @ 1.22% (0.076 0.08)
      Other @ 1.73%
      Total : 23.49%

      Head to Head
      Mar 5, 2022 1am
      Necaxa
      0-1
      Toluca

      Madrigal (31'), Aguirre (79')
      Sanvezzo (2')
      Canelo (51'), Rodriguez (74')
      Oct 21, 2021 1am
      Toluca
      1-1
      Necaxa
      Vanegas (56')
      Vanegas (67'), Sambueza (90+5')
      Ortega (36')
      Zendejas (53')
      Gonzalez (6'), Salas (24'), Medina (45')
      Jan 24, 2021 6pm
      Toluca
      2-0
      Necaxa
      Estrada (27' pen.), Plata (90+4')
      Sambueza (33'), Rigonato Rodrigues (55')

      Dominguez (26'), Cabrera (30'), de Luna (46'), Gonzalez (70')
      Gonzalez (74')
      Oct 31, 2020 1.30am
      Necaxa
      3-2
      Toluca
      Passerini (31'), Bilbao (61'), Zendejas (90+1')
      Zendejas (56'), Gonzalez (84')
      Cabrera (18' og.), Sambueza (72')
      Ortega (14'), Estrada (34'), Sambueza (45+4'), da Silva (53'), Canelo (84')
      Jan 19, 2020 6pm
      Toluca
      2-3
      Necaxa
      Fernandez (38'), Hernandez (45')
      Quiroga (22', 92'), Doldan (80')
      Gonzalez (30'), Noya (63'), Gonzalez (90')