Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Apr 10, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

Last Six:
    Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
    Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
    Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
    Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX

    CD Guadalajara

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Guadalajara
      Monday, May 16 at 12am in Liga MX
      Next Game: Guadalajara vs. Juarez
      Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

      The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

      Result
      TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
      32.38%26.86%40.76%
      Both teams to score 50.74%
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      45.69%54.31%
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      24.3%75.7%
      Toluca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.75%31.25%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      32.4%67.59%
      CD Guadalajara Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      73.8%26.2%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      38.71%61.29%
      Score Analysis
          Toluca 32.38%
          CD Guadalajara 40.76%
          Draw 26.85%
      TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
      1-0 @ 9.52%
      2-1 @ 7.42%
      2-0 @ 5.54%
      3-1 @ 2.88%
      3-0 @ 2.15%
      3-2 @ 1.93%
      Other @ 2.95%
      Total : 32.38%
      		1-1 @ 12.75%
      0-0 @ 8.19%
      2-2 @ 4.97%
      Other @ 0.95%
      Total : 26.85%
      		0-1 @ 10.96%
      1-2 @ 8.54%
      0-2 @ 7.34%
      1-3 @ 3.82%
      0-3 @ 3.28%
      2-3 @ 2.22%
      1-4 @ 1.28%
      0-4 @ 1.1%
      Other @ 2.22%
      Total : 40.76%

      Head to Head
      Oct 17, 2021 11pm
      Guadalajara
      2-0
      Toluca
      Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
      Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

      Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
      Jan 16, 2021 11pm
      Guadalajara
      1-1
      Toluca
      Molina (23')
      Sanchez (51')
      Castaneda (25')
      Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
      Aug 23, 2020 11.30pm
      Toluca
      1-0
      Guadalajara
      Gonzalez (60')
      Sambueza (61'), da Silva (69'), Mora (75')

      Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
      Jan 26, 2020 3.05am
      Guadalajara
      2-2
      Toluca
      Beltran (19'), Lopez (55' pen.)
      Cisneros (57')
      Cisneros (63')
      Guemez (49'), Gigliotti (84')
      da Silva (7'), Gigliotti (32'), Fernandez (58')
      Nov 3, 2019 6pm
      Toluca
      1-3
      Guadalajara
      Pardo (13')
      Millan (56'), Maidana (82'), da Silva (87')
      Lopez (33'), Pulido (37', 77')
      Fernando Tena (75')