Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Club America had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Club America win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.