Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 10, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca3 - 2Atlas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Toluca | 1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Last Game: America 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Pumas | 2 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Atlas | 1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | CD Guadalajara | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
32.21% ( 0.82) | 26.79% ( -0.01) | 40.99% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.9% ( 0.27) | 54.1% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( 0.23) | 75.52% ( -0.23) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% ( 0.71) | 31.26% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% ( 0.81) | 67.61% ( -0.81) |
Atlas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% ( -0.31) | 25.98% ( 0.31) |