Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 10, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
3 - 2
Atlas

Fernandez (3'), Navarro (10'), Huerta (15')
Meneses (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ocejo (43'), Rocha (84')
Nervo (39'), Zaldivar (41'), Chala (59'), Santamaria (65')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

Last Six:
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

Atlas

Last Six:
Last Game: America 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawAtlas
32.21% (0.824 0.82)26.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)40.99% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.315 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (0.272 0.27)54.1% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.226 0.23)75.52% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.708 0.71)31.26% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.815 0.81)67.61% (-0.815 -0.81)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.306 -0.31)25.98% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.412 -0.41)61% (0.412 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 32.21%
    Atlas 40.99%
    Draw 26.79%
TolucaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 40.99%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Toluca
2-4
Atlas
Huerta (4'), Violante (89')
Vanegas (45'), Gonzalez (45')
Vanegas (57')
Rocha (8'), Quinones (45+1', 90+7'), Furch (58' pen.)
Quinones (45+2'), Reyes (60'), Santamaria (72'), Zaldivar (82'), Marquez (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Atlas
0-0
Toluca

Marquez (36')

Baeza (59')
Feb 27, 2021 11pm
Toluca
0-0
Atlas

Triverio (66'), Juan Vazquez (90+4')

Acosta (35')
Aug 14, 2020 1am
Atlas
1-2
Toluca
Malcorra (28' pen.)
Zaldivar (12'), Acosta (86')
Canelo (22' pen.), Sambueza (55' pen.)
Garcia (27'), Canelo (37'), Medina (68'), Guemez (89')
Mar 15, 2020 6pm
Toluca
2-3
Atlas
Fernandez (21', 74' pen.)
Castaneda (23'), Hernandez (43'), Guemez (58')
Barbosa (4'), Abella (63'), Cuero (86')
Marquez (71'), Cuero (87')
rhs 2.0


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