Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.