Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 24, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 0
America

Lopez (9' pen.), Montecinos (61')
Rodriguez (25'), Diaz (48'), Lopez (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (10'), Zendejas (13'), Ochoa (65')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Club America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Club America had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawClub America
37.21% (0.205 0.2)27.72% (0.5 0.5)35.07% (-0.702 -0.7)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-1.59 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77% (-1.967 -1.97)57.23% (1.969 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92% (-1.592 -1.59)78.08% (1.594 1.59)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.83499999999999 -0.83)29.61% (0.838 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-1.031 -1.03)65.65% (1.033 1.03)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-1.42 -1.42)30.95% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-1.698 -1.7)67.24% (1.702 1.7)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 37.21%
    Club America 35.06%
    Draw 27.72%
Club TijuanaDrawClub America
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.57 0.57)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.195 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.21%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.668 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 10.74% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 3.06am
Tijuana
1-3
America
Montecinos (31')
Lopez (68'), Lorona (79'), Angulo (90+2')
Ferreyra (8' og.), Zendejas (11'), Fidalgo (84' pen.)
Martinez (39'), Zendejas (42')
Aug 22, 2021 11pm
America
2-0
Tijuana
Cordova (90+1' pen.), Ibarra (90+4')

Rivera (16'), Angulo (18'), Lorona (79')
Gamiz (90')
Mar 4, 2021 3.06am
Aug 2, 2020 3am
America
4-0
Tijuana
Sanchez (37'), Valdez (57'), Martin (79', 84')
S (29')

Barbieri (27'), Colula (35'), Aboagye (39'), Gomez (74'), Bolanos (87')
Jan 25, 2020 3.10am
Tijuana
0-0
America

Barbieri (54')

Aguilar (95')
rhs 2.0


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