Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Club America had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Club America win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.