Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.