La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Ramazani (6')
Sadiq (40'), Curro (67'), Puigmal (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vazquez (61'), Alaba (75')
Camavinga (40')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Leganes 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Rayo Vallecano	1	0	1
7	Almeria	0	0	0
8	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Real Betis	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Real Madrid
31.75% ( 0)	24.13%	44.12% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

-0)

42.75% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

-0)

65.15% (

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

60.93% (

-0)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43%

19.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

-0)

51.49%

Score Analysis

Almeria 31.75%

Real Madrid 44.12%

Draw 24.13%

Almeria	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.54% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.75%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 9.11% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.12%