Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.