| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Espanyol | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Mallorca | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Almeria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 38.55% ( | 28.72% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.91% ( | 61.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% ( | 81.06% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( | 30.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% ( | 66.97% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( | 34.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( | 71.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0-0 @ 10.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 6% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.72% |