| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sevilla | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
| 44.11% ( | 28.63% ( | 27.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.57% ( | 62.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( | 82.05% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( | 63.92% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( | 39.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( | 76.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% ( 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 3.85% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.25% |