Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
0 - 3
Real Madrid

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (56'), Modric (60'), Hazard (77')

Reaction

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Rangers
Saturday, September 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	6	24	18
2	Rangers	6	7	13
3	Aberdeen	6	6	10

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Betis
Saturday, September 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	4	7	12
2	Barcelona	4	10	10
3	Villarreal	4	9	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Real Madrid
31.07% ( -0.1)	20.41% ( 0.01)	48.52% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 73.34% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.3% (

-0.12)

24.7% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.47% (

-0.16)

44.53% (

0.16)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.11)

17.48% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.03% (

-0.19)

47.97% (

0.2)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.87% (

-0.02)

11.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.44% (

-0.04)

35.56% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Celtic 31.07%

Real Madrid 48.52%

Draw 20.41%

Celtic	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 31.07%	1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.44% 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 4.33% Total : 48.52%