Champions League
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Vinicius Junior
56'
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Luka Modric
60'
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Eden Hazard
77'
Celtic vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Celtic
31.07%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
20.41%
▲
(+0.02)
Real Madrid
48.52%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
73.34%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
75.3%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
24.7%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
55.47%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
44.53%
▲
(+0.17)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
82.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
17.48%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
52.03%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
47.97%
▲
(+0.20)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
88.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
11.12%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
64.44%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
35.56%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Celtic
31.07%
Draw
20.41%
Real Madrid
48.52%
Celtic
2-1
@
6.5%
▲
(+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 31.07%
3-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 31.07%
Draw
1-1
@
7.45%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.41%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.41%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
8.18%
▲
(+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.44%
2-5 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 48.52%
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.44%
2-5 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 48.52%
Form Data
Build-up
Team News
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News
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